The Dallas Cowboys are running roughshod over the NFL, but covering against the New York Giants has been a stumbling block over the last couple of seasons.
The Cowboys are listed as the 3.5-point favorites against the Giants with 47.5-point total in the Sunday Night Football matchup, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Giants are responsible for the Cowboys’ only loss of the season and Dallas is 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four games against New York, according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
The Cowboys are 7-0 straight-up and 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games, but the Giants are also a sizzling 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Dallas is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS, having won by less than the spread in each of their last two outings, against the Washington Redskins and Minnesota Vikings.
With Giants sack leader Jason Pierre-Paul (sports hernia) done for the season, QB Dak Prescott might have more opportunity to break containment and make plays on the run. Tight end Jason Witten has long been a Giants-killer and, lo and behold, covering tight ends is a weak spot in an otherwise improved New York defense (17th in yards allowed).
Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliott were playing their first game when Dallas lost 20-19 to the Giants in Week 1. No one is a rookie after Thanksgiving.
New York is 8-4 SU and 5-5-2 ATS, but have issues that could limit Eli Manning and cohorts’ ability to break down an 18th-ranked Dallas defense. Beyond WR Odell Beckham Jr., New York is lacking for diversity in the passing game that would challenge the Cowboys’ depth in the defensive secondary.
The Giants’ offensive line is struggling at both components of their job; LT Ereck Flowers might not be able to keep DE Demarcus Lawrence from hitting Manning, while the running game is the second-worst in the entire NFL.
The form suggests a scoring battle – seven of the last eight games in the long-running NFC East rivalry have gone over – and if that’s the case, the Giants might not be able to keep up. While Beckham had a 100-yard game in his last performance, it took 16 targets to get it and he only had one reception that covered more than 20 yards.
That said, it is notable that the total has gone under on the NFL betting lines in nine of the Cowboys’ last 11 road games.