Teddy Bridgewater

Eagles become Super Bowl LII betting favorites

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Although the toughest stage of their season is ahead of them, the Philadelphia Eagles seem to be worth their price tag on the Super Bowl LII champion odds.

The Eagles, led by young quarterback Carson Wentz, are now the +400 favorite on the odds to win Super Bowl 52 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The defending champion New England Patriots (+450) are the second favorite, with the Pittsburgh Steelers (+750), Kansas City Chiefs (+1100), Seattle Seahawks (+1200), Los Angeles Rams (+1400) and New Orleans Saints (+1400) also moving up the board.

Philadelphia enters Week 10 of the season with a NFL-best 8-1 record, a prolific offense led by Wentz and a defense that leads the NFL in sacks. Their remaining slate still includes two games against the Dallas Cowboys (+1600) as well as potential playoff previews against the Rams and Seahawks, but Philadelphia is in the driver’s seat to have home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

That makes them a more sure commodity than most other teams, especially since having a strong rushing attack and a strong run defense could work in their favor come playoff time.

The Patriots are having their issues on defense, but the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady mystique makes it hard to write them off this early in the game. At the same time, New England is at the midpoint of the season ranked dead last in the NFL in yards allowed and passing yards allowed. It’s hard to win with substandard defense.

The value among AFC aspirants, though, probably rests more with the Steelers. Two-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is no longer at his peak, but is surrounded by better skill-position talent than Brady and Pittsburgh also boasts a top-5 defense with a reliable pass rush.

Similarly, while they have cooled off, Kansas City is worth monitoring if one believes both the Patriots and Steelers are too flawed to win the conference.

In the NFC, the Seahawks are one team that can probably be singled out as a sucker bet due to the weakness of their offensive line and rushing game. If one is inclined to cast their lot with an outside shot from the NFC, it might be better to take a long look at either the Rams or Minnesota Vikings (+1600) since both are younger teams.

The Rams are exhibiting a high-octane offense built around QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley, and have pieces in place to be competitive for years. Their future might be now.  Likewise, the Vikings have had a strong enough defense to weather an ever-changing quarterback situation (Case Keenum? Teddy Bridgewater?). Both teams also have clear paths to winning their divisions.

Super Bowl LII will take place Feb. 4, 2018 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minn.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

NFL Week 7 odds roundup: Vikings, Patriots favorites in marquee matchups

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Sam Bradford had difficulty winning in Philadelphia, and the OddsShark NFL Database shows the same has long been true of the Minnesota Vikings.

The Vikings are listed as 2.5-point favorites against the Philadelphia Eagles for this weekend at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Vikings, who got Bradford from the Eagles after Teddy Bridgewater suffered a major knee injury, are the NFL’s last unbeaten team. They are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against the Eagles, and 3-10 ATS in their last 13.

The Eagles are 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight games against teams from the NFC.

Another QB, Brock Osweiler, has a return game in Week 7. The Denver Broncos are seven-point favorites against Osweiler’s Houston Texans for the Monday Night Football game. The Broncos are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games after losing their most recent home game. The Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 7.5 or fewer points.

The New England Patriots are favored by seven points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Patriots are 11-1 SU in their last 12 October games. The Steelers, who are relying on QB Landry Jones after Ben Roethlisberger was injured during their Week 6 loss in Miami, are 7-1 SU in their last eight games after losing as a favorite.

According to website PredictionMachine.com, going from Roethlisberger to Landry decreases the Steelers’ chances of beating the Patriots from 40.5% to 26.3%.

The Arizona Cardinals are favored by two against the Seattle Seahawks for the Sunday Night Football matchup. The Seahawks are 7-2 SU in their last nine road games. The Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

The Detroit Lions are a one-point favorite against the Washington Redskins. The Lions are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against teams with winning records. The Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7.

The Buffalo Bills are favored by three against the rival Miami Dolphins. The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites. The Dolphins are 2-6 SU in their last eight against teams with winning records.

On Thursday Night Football, the Green Bay Packers are 7.5-point favorites against the Chicago Bears. The Packers are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 7. The Bears are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against teams with winning records.

The New York Giants are favored by 2.5 points against the Los Angeles Rams entering their game in London. The Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC West. The Rams are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.

And the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a road favorite for only the second time since 2011, giving two points against the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games.

NFL Week 1 odds: Panthers on TNF among favorites on opening slate

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Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers have ruled the NFC South for three seasons, but covering as a road favorite has not been their forte. Heading into Thursday night’s NFL season opener between last year’s Super Bowl teams, the Panthers are listed as three-point favorites against the host Denver Broncos at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Over the last three seasons, Carolina is 9-3 straight-up but just 5-7 against the spread as a road favorite, according to the OddsShark NFL Database. However, overall they’re also 8-0 both SU and ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of three or fewer points.

Denver, which won both home games last season where it was an underdog, is 25-4 SU in its last 29 home games. The total has gone under in both the Panthers’ last four season openers and in the Broncos’ last five games following consecutive wins.

In a Sunday Night Football tilt between the 2015 AFC and NFC finalists, the Arizona Cardinals are listed as six-point favorites against the temporarily Jimmy Garoppolo-led New England Patriots. The Cardinals are 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS in their last dozen games when favored by 6.5 or fewer points.

The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against Arizona. The total has gone over six of the last seven times that New England was the underdog.

The New York Giants-Dallas Cowboys tilt is listed as a pick’em. The Cowboys, now counting on rookie QB Dak Prescott, are 5-1 SU in their last six September games. The Giants aren’t known for being fast starters: try an 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS trend in their last five season openers. The NFC East rivals’ last seven games have all gone over the posted total.

The Cincinnati Bengals are 2.5-point favorites on the road against the New York Jets; the Bengals have lost nine road games in a row against the Jets, but they are 6-2 SU and 8-0 ATS in their last eight away games. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are four-point favorites at home against Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions.

With backup QB Shaun Hill starting, the Minnesota Vikings are two-point road favorites against the Tennessee Titans. According to website PredictionMachine.com, the Vikings’ projected points per game average with Hill at quarterback instead of the injured Teddy Bridgewater drops from 24.5 to 21.8. With Sam Bradford at quarterback that number is 22.1.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are favored by three points against the Washington Redskins on Monday night, with the total at 50 points. The total has gone under for bettors eight of the last 11 times the Redskins were an underdog of three or fewer points. In the other Monday night game, the Los Angeles Rams are 2.5-point favorites against the host San Francisco 49ers.

In other games of note, the Seattle Seahawks are 10.5-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins, Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints are a slim one-point favorite at home against the Oakland Raiders, and the Green Bay Packers are 4.5-point favorites on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars.