NFL Week 7 odds roundup: Vikings, Patriots favorites in marquee matchups

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Sam Bradford had difficulty winning in Philadelphia, and the OddsShark NFL Database shows the same has long been true of the Minnesota Vikings.

The Vikings are listed as 2.5-point favorites against the Philadelphia Eagles for this weekend at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Vikings, who got Bradford from the Eagles after Teddy Bridgewater suffered a major knee injury, are the NFL’s last unbeaten team. They are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against the Eagles, and 3-10 ATS in their last 13.

The Eagles are 2-6 SU and ATS in their last eight games against teams from the NFC.

Another QB, Brock Osweiler, has a return game in Week 7. The Denver Broncos are seven-point favorites against Osweiler’s Houston Texans for the Monday Night Football game. The Broncos are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games after losing their most recent home game. The Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 7.5 or fewer points.

The New England Patriots are favored by seven points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Patriots are 11-1 SU in their last 12 October games. The Steelers, who are relying on QB Landry Jones after Ben Roethlisberger was injured during their Week 6 loss in Miami, are 7-1 SU in their last eight games after losing as a favorite.

According to website PredictionMachine.com, going from Roethlisberger to Landry decreases the Steelers’ chances of beating the Patriots from 40.5% to 26.3%.

The Arizona Cardinals are favored by two against the Seattle Seahawks for the Sunday Night Football matchup. The Seahawks are 7-2 SU in their last nine road games. The Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

The Detroit Lions are a one-point favorite against the Washington Redskins. The Lions are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against teams with winning records. The Redskins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7.

The Buffalo Bills are favored by three against the rival Miami Dolphins. The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites. The Dolphins are 2-6 SU in their last eight against teams with winning records.

On Thursday Night Football, the Green Bay Packers are 7.5-point favorites against the Chicago Bears. The Packers are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in Week 7. The Bears are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against teams with winning records.

The New York Giants are favored by 2.5 points against the Los Angeles Rams entering their game in London. The Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC West. The Rams are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.

And the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a road favorite for only the second time since 2011, giving two points against the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games.

Eagles become Super Bowl LII betting favorites

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Although the toughest stage of their season is ahead of them, the Philadelphia Eagles seem to be worth their price tag on the Super Bowl LII champion odds.

The Eagles, led by young quarterback Carson Wentz, are now the +400 favorite on the odds to win Super Bowl 52 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The defending champion New England Patriots (+450) are the second favorite, with the Pittsburgh Steelers (+750), Kansas City Chiefs (+1100), Seattle Seahawks (+1200), Los Angeles Rams (+1400) and New Orleans Saints (+1400) also moving up the board.

Philadelphia enters Week 10 of the season with a NFL-best 8-1 record, a prolific offense led by Wentz and a defense that leads the NFL in sacks. Their remaining slate still includes two games against the Dallas Cowboys (+1600) as well as potential playoff previews against the Rams and Seahawks, but Philadelphia is in the driver’s seat to have home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

That makes them a more sure commodity than most other teams, especially since having a strong rushing attack and a strong run defense could work in their favor come playoff time.

The Patriots are having their issues on defense, but the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady mystique makes it hard to write them off this early in the game. At the same time, New England is at the midpoint of the season ranked dead last in the NFL in yards allowed and passing yards allowed. It’s hard to win with substandard defense.

The value among AFC aspirants, though, probably rests more with the Steelers. Two-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is no longer at his peak, but is surrounded by better skill-position talent than Brady and Pittsburgh also boasts a top-5 defense with a reliable pass rush.

Similarly, while they have cooled off, Kansas City is worth monitoring if one believes both the Patriots and Steelers are too flawed to win the conference.

In the NFC, the Seahawks are one team that can probably be singled out as a sucker bet due to the weakness of their offensive line and rushing game. If one is inclined to cast their lot with an outside shot from the NFC, it might be better to take a long look at either the Rams or Minnesota Vikings (+1600) since both are younger teams.

The Rams are exhibiting a high-octane offense built around QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley, and have pieces in place to be competitive for years. Their future might be now.  Likewise, the Vikings have had a strong enough defense to weather an ever-changing quarterback situation (Case Keenum? Teddy Bridgewater?). Both teams also have clear paths to winning their divisions.

Super Bowl LII will take place Feb. 4, 2018 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minn.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

Steelers road favorites against Lions in Sunday Night Football matchup

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Picking between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Detroit Lions on Sunday night could simply come down to Ben Roethlisberger‘s record in primetime games compared to that of quarterback counterpart Matthew Stafford.

The Steelers are 3-point road favorites against the Lions with a 46-point total for the Week 8 Sunday Night Football matchup at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

On top of having never lost a game at Ford Field, the Steelers are 6-1 straight-up and 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven road games as a favorite of 3.0 or fewer points. Pittsburgh is also 4-0 SU in its last four primetime games that Roethlisberger started.

The Lions are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games at night. However, they are coming off a bye and are 6-2 both SU and ATS in their last eight games after a bye week.

The Steelers, which are 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS, have gotten away with having an oversized chunk of their offense come from RB Le'Veon Bell and WR Antonio Brown. With Brown likely to be covered by CB Darius Slay most of the night, Roethlisberger and the Steelers’ offensive brain trust might need to look elsewhere.

With WR Martavius Bryant (inactive) scratched, rookie JuJu Schuster-Smith will get plenty of looks as Pittsburgh tries to revive its deep passing game. Roethlisberger will also have to clean up some turnover issues against a Lions defense that is tied for third in the NFL with nine interceptions.

Up front, Pittsburgh has allowed just 10 sacks and the line’s consistent push in the rushing phase has helped Bell find daylight. While the first point of reference with the Lions defense is likely the embarrassing 52 points they allowed two weeks ago against the New Orleans Saints, they are in the top 10 of the league in yards-per-rush.

For the Lions, which are 3-3 both SU and ATS, priorities 1A and 1B for their offense during their week off were presumably first-half production (only five of their 14 offensive touchdowns are before halftime) and pass protection. The possibility of leading receiver Golden Tate (shoulder) being unable to play would definitely hurt their prospects of a fast start, but Stafford does thrive at distributing the ball among several targets.

The issue for Detroit in the passing phase is giving Stafford time to set up. Detroit allowed 17 sacks in its three games immediately prior to the bye, and now it has to stymie a Steelers pass rush that is tied for the second-most sacks with 24.

The Steelers defense is giving up 4.7 yards per carry, so this could be a game where Lions RB Ameer Abdullah sees bigger holes than he’s been accustomed to this season.

The total has gone under in 15 of the Steelers’ last 20 games after a win. The total has gone over in seven of the Lions’ last eight home games in October according to the OddsShark NFL Database.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the new OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check it out at OddsShark.libsyn.com