The Denver Broncos will be gunning for a third straight home victory over New England, and a second Super Bowl berth in three years, when they play host to the Patriots in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game as 3-point betting underdogs at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
Denver set the stage for a rematch of the 2014 AFC title game with a 23-16 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend, but takes a five-game winless streak against the spread into Sunday’s Patriots vs. Broncos betting matchup at Sports Authority Field.
The Broncos wrapped up their regular season with the NFL’s best defense, allowing just 283.1 total yards per game while giving up a fourth-best 18.5 points per game, and have fared well at the sportsbooks when pegged as underdogs, going 3-1 SU and ATS including a stunning 30-24 overtime victory over the Patriots on Sunday Night Football on Thanksgiving weekend.
New England travels to the Rockies for a fifth straight appearance in the conference championship following a 27-20 win over the Kansas City Chiefs last Saturday.
That victory snapped a two-game SU losing streak. However, the Patriots have been a shaky bet on the road, covering in just two of six away from Gillette Stadium since opening the season with a pair of convincing victories in Buffalo and Dallas.
The Patriots’ struggles at the sportsbooks also extend to recent postseason road contests.
New England is a mere 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS in their past 10 road playoff games dating back to 1987, but an impressive 8-3 SU overall in their past 11 postseason contests, going undefeated SU in their last four, 3-1 ATS, according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
Sunday’s clash also marks the 17th meeting all-time between rival quarterbacks Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. The future Hall of Famers last met on the gridiron in November 2014 with New England grabbing a 43-21 home victory as 3-point underdogs, giving Brady an 11-5 SU edge in 16 head-to-head clashes.
However, it is Manning who has led his team to victory in the past two postseason meetings between the two stars, denying the Patriots a Super Bowl berth two years ago with the Broncos’ 26-16 victory as 4.5-point favorites in the 2004 AFC Championship Game after powering the Indianapolis Colts to a 38-34 win as 3.5-point chalk in the 2007 AFC title game.